Early May Cotton Planting Concerns for 2008
I have looked at the long-term forecast for Raleigh (http://www.weather.com/weather/tenday/27695?from=36hr_topnav_undeclared)
Heat units are calculated by adding the high and the low, dividing that number by 2 and then subtracting 60
[(*F Max + *F Min Temp)/2] - 60 = DD60s. You can update these numbers for you local conditions and for changes in the forecast that will likely become more accurate closer to the actual day of planting.
| Date | High Temp | Low Temp | Daily DD60's | Predicted DD60 accumulation for the following 5 days |
| May 5 | 73 | 56 | 4.5 | 38 (May 5 - May 9) |
| May 6 | 80 | 57 | 8.5 | 56 (May 6 - May 10) |
| May 7 | 85 | 63 | 14 | 57.5 (May 7 - May 11) |
| May 8 | 82 | 66 | 14 | 51.5 (May 8 - May 12) |
| May 9 | 83 | 57 | 10 | 47 (May 9 - May 13) |
| May 10 | 79 | 60 | 9.5 | 51.5 (May 10 - May 14) |
| May 11 | 79 | 61 | 10 | |
| May 12 | 80 | 56 | 8 | |
| May 13 | 79 | 60 | 9.5 | |
| May 14 | 83 | 66 | 14.5 | |
You can see in Table 2 below that the predicted heat units for the coming week are pretty good for cotton.
Table 2. The relationship between DD60's and planting conditions.DD60's accumulation in the 5 days following planting |
Planting Conditions |
Less than 10 |
Very Poor |
11 to 15 |
Marginal |
16 to 25 |
Adequate |
26 to 50 |
Good |
>50 |
Excellent |